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Thoughts on Iraq.
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by Malnurtured Snay: [QB] Might it not be prudent to consider the trouble the U.S. (and probably Great Britain, too) will have to go through to oust Hussein, since Iraq will probably be our first target of the three nations Bush mentioned? * Limited staging area. With the Saudis asking us to reduce our forces in their country, I doubt they'd let us build up an army as they did 10 years ago. They might also refuse to allow us to launch air-strikes from our bases in Saudi Arabia (not so sure if they have the legal right to refuse that, but I think they do). * The Turks have had a long dispute with the Kurds. They would object to any military force utilizing the Kurds as allies, since such action could possibly result in the Kurds gaining their own nation in what is currently northern Iraq. If we do decide to utilize the Kurds, the Turks might also refuse permission to launch strikes from our bases in Turkeys, and possibly not allow us to use any naval ports in Turkey. * Without being able to stage forces in Saudi Arabia or Turkey in a worst-case scenario, this would leave us with an amphibious landing by US Marines. Even backed up by Navy jets launching from Aircraft Carriers, this would both extend our time to put any sizeable force of troops on the ground, as well as give the Iraqis time to muster a stronger, more concentrated defense then they've previously had. Of course, once the Marines have secured an airfield or two, we can start bringing in Army troops by C-130s and sending in the short-range jets which comprise the majority of the USAF to go to work on Saddam. Anyhoo, I certainly think an invasion of Iraq is possible. Even given the worst-case scenarios above, we should be able to march in, oust Hussein and his Republican Guard, and start setting up a provisional government fairly quickly. I don't think we'd be able to move as quickly as we have in Afghanistan (due in large part to support from the Northern Alliance), and, again, the majority of fighting will be done by U.S. and British troops -- not by the rival faction in a civil war. Another big question: with Americans and Brits taking the brunt of casualties, will Bush still have enough support after this to go after Iran or North Korea ... ? [/QB][/QUOTE]
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