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Thoughts on Iraq.
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by Timo: [QB] The problem with sealift is that you need a harbor to offload any serious hardware. The Navy or the Marines don't have anything that could sail all the way to the shore and disgorge large numbers of vehicles directly (and they don't want that - they got rid of the Newports and they are not going back). AFAIK, they don't have anything like the WWII portable harbors, either. What they have is the ability to do a semi-standoffish delivery of a couple of "reinforced batallions" to an essentially pre-secured (read: carefully bombed) beach. So the trick is in establishing an area where the main forces can offload safely, and Saudi and Kuwaiti unco-operation would mean that area would have to be in Iraq. Meaning that a non-superior US force would have to hold a beachhead until it could be reinforced into a superior one. I think that means a bloody fight, or the risk thereof. Surely that's doable, but it's bloodier than anything the US has done for a while. The air superiority would have to be even more absolute than in 1991 to minimize the risks on sealift, let alone airlift. And there's no chance of making it a surprise attack now. A special forces strike against Saddam himself might do the same as a full-scale invasion. If only such strikes worked in reality as nicely as they do in the books. Timo Saloniemi [/QB][/QUOTE]
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