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Arafat: Dead?
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by David Sands: [QB] I will not deny that such a revelation would confirm in the ideas of some misguided people that homosexuals are intrinsically wicked. I am not one of these people. I have a close family member who is gay, I don�t believe being a homosexual is a sin, and I think sodomy ought to be decriminalized. I have no way to know with reasonable certainty whether Arafat being homosexual or bisexual would increase the degree of danger or marginalization gays feel. However, I think there is a competing value of not discounting possibilities because they are politically disfavored. We obviously disagree on the proper balance of those two inconsistent goals, but I think there is some value in each of our opinions. Therefore, I don�t dismiss yours, but I have seen no compelling reason to discard mine. On a more technical note, I thought of something that might be missing from our debate that might bridge the gap between us. I know that Bayesian probability theory is a very good way of formalizing the scientific method, which is not dissimilar to these kinds of forensic debates. However, I have not taken any graduate level courses in statistics, so I might be barking up the wrong tree here. Anyone out there who knows more about this than I and can tell us whether what I�ve been trying to explain might use that method of expressing probability is welcome to chime in. Unfortunately for our invigorating discussion, I just started a new job today, so this will have to be my last regular post on Flare. I�ll still lurk around, and perhaps post occasionally. But until March, this will have to be most of it. Talk to you in the Spring (Northern Hemispherians) or in the Fall (Southern Hemispherians)! [/QB][/QUOTE]
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