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Peace in the Middle East!
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by Wraith: [QB] So, basically we have an Israeli military operation against Lebanon in response to Hezbollah actions. Hezbollah is supported by Iran and Syria and has been supported/allowed to operate by the Lebanese government for many years. However, Hezbollah is now so powerful in the south of the Lebanon that the Lebanese government and military has no control. As a result it is unlikely that Israeli pressure on Lebanon will result in a change in Hezbollah's actions or positions. Isreal, however, feels that it must act to underline it's own military superiority in order not to appear weak. If Isreal does appear weak then the surrounding Arab states may start to look at Isreal as a viable target once more. Given the popularity of the 'the Jews are bad' line amongst the Arab states as a method of distracting attention from domestic difficulties, Isreal has a valid concern. Then we have the wider concerns. Hezbollah is effectivly an extension of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. We know that Iran has been aiding Shi'a militants in Iraq and clearly has desires of regional domination. Isreal's actions will not succeed in eliminatimg Hezbollah for the same reasons that all out military offensives have not succeeded in Iraq. The enemy is embedded in the civilian population and is almost impossible to identify or target successfully. Equally, no negotiation will ever satisfy many of those in the Arab and indeed, Muslim world. Any UN intervention would feature mainly Western troops and while that may go down well in Lebanon (in an 'at least they're not bombing us' kind of way) how long do you think it'd take the rest of the Middle East to portrey it as another Zionist/Crusader occupation? We're talking about a region whose media still report the Protocols of the Elders of Zion as fact! We have, in short, a conumdrum... [/QB][/QUOTE]
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